Research of Indian Stock Market

Monday, July 25, 2011

NIFTY OUTLOOK


NIFTY traded firm and closed with a gain of nearly 92

points in Friday’s session.

This could delay the weakness expected in the earlier

reports and keep the sentiment mixed to positive towards

the resistance near 5654/5670 (formed by the mediumterm

falling trend line) in the coming 1-2 sessions.

The 14-day RSI is still moving flat near the neutral zone

while the MACD (12/26/9) is below its signal line indicating

that significant top has been put in place at 5740 and

short-term trend is still weak.

Hence prices are likely to face selling pressure at the said

resistance levels and turn lower towards 5497 levels

eventually.

Overall, upside seems limited and index is likely to see

dips towards 5497 in the coming 1-2 weeks. Whether it is

correction for the rise from June lows or resumption of

down trend from November highs more clarity is likely to

emerge from price action in coming days.

However overall trend is still down and index is likely to retreat towards 5500 levels .

 

Copyright M. Subramaniam