Research of Indian Stock Market

Friday, September 16, 2011

All EYE’S ON CENTRAL BANK


The markets had a rollercoaster ride so far this week with benchmarks oscillating sharply between key psychological levels. Globally, concerns about Greece's future eased slightly after Germany and France pledged to stand behind their commitments to keep the debt-laden nation in the euro zone. Back home, the food price index declined marginally to 9.47% and the fuel price index went up to 13.01% in the year to September 3, 2011. India’s benchmark wholesale price inflation accelerated to a 13-month high of 9.78% in August. Market participants will closely watch the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) stance in Today policy meet, where despite 11 successive rate hikes, the inflation hasn’t cooled off while growth has faltered as indicated by recent IIP data. Meanwhile, the rupee cooled off against the dollar after touching 2-year high after RBI intervention. The India volatility index (VIX) declined 5.1% and reached 30.8.
              In my opinion yesterday market closed the gap(5047-4986) of 61 points which happens Monday with strong volume , With the support of Bank Nifty it also filled the Monday gap at the last minute of closing, Today RBI policy meet expectation is central bank will rise repo rate, But there will some surprise!!! Comes market will celebrate up to 5320 it will be the High. Don’t take any long position leave the market to react for central’s announcement  Wait and Watch, Go Short on Higher level

 

Copyright M. Subramaniam