Research of Indian Stock Market

Friday, October 7, 2011

Breach of 4700 will Lead to Further Fall


Despite repeated attempts by bears, bulls have managed to protect the important level of 4700 in Nifty futures. However, island reversal with gaps between 4884 and 4902 is weighing heavily on bulls as they have failed to lift Nifty futures above this zone. Considering the current scenario, important levels to watch are placed at 4700 and 4950, respectively.

In case of Nifty breaching 4700, the next support is visible at 4500 level according to data. but Nifty futures needs to surpass the resistance of 4950 convincingly for moving towards 5100 mark.
Nifty’s open interest put-call ratio (PCR) stands consistently above 1.45 levels and India VIX (Volatility index) is precariously poised above 35. Both of them point towards the fragility of global financial environment, which is mirrored in the options data. After selling more than . 14,500 crore (cash segment) in August and September, FIIs continued their derisking spree with selling of equities worth . 1,800 crore in the first two days of October. Banking and metal stocks continue to accumulate short positions.
In present market conditions and in chart, my opinion nifty will not take support at 4700,But it’s a chance for U turn from current level.

 

Copyright M. Subramaniam